[…]Calculating NCAA March Madness Bracket using Chess ELO predictive scoring » <Code Zen />[…]…

]]>I have been playing with doing this myself for a couple years now. A way to automate the ELO comparisons and evaluating the result. But the thing that is very hard about March Madness (and one I didn’t see you handle here) is the definition is AWAY/HOME. In the ELO scores we have the home advantage available to calculate (3.55) and the rankings of the relative teams (Kentucky 94.68 and Ohio 91.43, etc)… but the definition of home and away is soooo arbitrary. Right?

Kentucky plays in Atlanta, so they score +3.55 for all their games in Atlanta? But what if they play someone closer home than them? And then adjusting the at home away rankings when the games move to New Orleans for the final four?! 3.55 is a very significant difference when the scores as close as they are in ELO output. Just wondering your thoughts on that front.

(also, have you seen the USA Today Sagarin/ELO rankings? They do all this math for you, which you could just scrape instead of scraping the actual results. Just saying.)

THANKS!

Taylor